Weekend Predictions | July 11 | ||
Rank | Movie | TW | % chg |
1 | Monsters University | $3,500,000 | |
2 | Tales from the Dark 1 | $400,000 | |
3 | Despicable Me 2 | $210,000 | -81.1% |
4 | Blind Detective | $160,000 | -76.3% |
5 | World War Z | $110,000 | -77.2% |
Tales from the Dark Part 1 is a two part scarefest that is supposed to mess with your mind. The horror will be split into 2 with the first part out this weekend and the 2nd one releasing on August 8. Interest is high in the film with 6 acclaimed filmmakers directing 6 different stories and many recognizable actors in the movie. Pre-sales though have shown the opposite with theaters virtually empty at most locations. A few have scraped out OK admissions but these are few. Broadway/AMC theater chains remain undeterred and are showcasing this on 2 screens, most on the biggest screen. This is an EDKO film and they own Broadway/AMC, therefore, they are trying to help it as much as they can. Other theater chains are locking this down on 1 screen or even half day showtimes. Horror movies, in general, tend to be very frontloaded and with Monsters University showing very high pre-sales, I see this having a good opening day but gaining mildly this weekend. Theaters will direct more screens to Monsters University this weekend which will put a strain on its weekend admissions but for opening day and Friday, it should be unaffected. Opening very wide, this will attack with $400,000.
Despicable Me 2 threw down the gauntlet to any animated challenger last week with 1.4m combined on opening weekend. Its opening weekend gross is good considering it tripled the first one's OW. It will march into this weekend vulnerable since the blockbuster opening this week is direct competition and going to take a lot of screens away from it. It will lose at least 1 screen and the biggest screens will be divided among Monsters University/Tales from the Dark. Despicable Me 2's overall screen loss should number in the 60-70% range. Due to Monsters University's influence, this will drop the hardest in the top 5 by over 80%. Tackling its 2nd weekend, it will gross $210,000 for a total of about 2.15m.
After punching Man of Steel to grab 2nd, Blind Detective will be on the ropes this weekend with the 2 openers thwarting its chance of 2m. It opened to $825,000 including previews and will pass 1m before Thursday. Andy Lau's most recent offerings have been frontloaded and combining that with the competition this week, this will nosedive. It will not be directly affected by genre pics but Tales from the Dark 1 is a local offering that should hinder its 2nd week gross. Walking toward the light, Blind Detective will snatch another $160,000 and accumulate 1.265m for its 11-day gross.
World War Z will outgun Man of Steel for 5th with many places opting to keep it around for another week over Man of Steel. Though its drop will not be stellar, it can take comfort that it passes 5m this week. Its run is ending soon but World War Z will score at least one more victory over Kal-El. World War Z is looking at $110,000 for an outstanding 25 day total of $5.3m.
Plagued by average word of mouth, theaters are showing no remorse for the caped one and many have decided to pull this out of theaters on Thursday. Man of Steel has lost support even at IMAX theaters and all 3 have reneged on its showtimes for Monsters University instead. Theaters have seen how weak it held last weekend and have made up their mind to cut it loose. It will lose at least half of its theaters and will show just 1 a day at most of its remaining theaters. This will entertain $75,000 worth of business (-91%) for a disappointing $4.12m.
Now You See Me enters its 5th weekend on high spirits. It recently passed 3m and is the #6 film of the year to date. After a great hold last weekend, Now You See Me hopes to do it again but there's just too much competition for it to have a good hold. It will push for another $50,000 this weekend (-69%) for a 5 week total of 3.43m.
Epic returns for a 3rd weekend but things are looking dark. As if Despicable Me 2 wasn't enough, Monsters University is the big kahuna of animation films this summer. Epic's 2nd weekend hold was not good, therefore, it will also see theater reductions this week. Many will drop Epic this week and the remaining few still showing it this weekend have put it on for 1 showing a day. Judgement day is coming and Epic will be nowhere to be found this weekend, bagging only $25,000 (-86%). It will miss out on 1m. Cume will hit $875,000.
Midsummer Formula held only average on its 2nd weekend with it dropping from its 2-day OW. Even making half of Suspect X is out of the picture with its tiny 2nd weekend. The majority of theaters are moving this out on Thursday. It will only make $20,000 (-88%) this weekend for a grand total of $620,000.
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